Ftfa Franklin Templeton Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 20.79

FGTZX Fund  USD 21.21  0.09  0.42%   
Ftfa Franklin's future price is the expected price of Ftfa Franklin instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ftfa Franklin Templeton Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ftfa Franklin Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Ftfa Franklin Correlation, Ftfa Franklin Hype Analysis, Ftfa Franklin Volatility, Ftfa Franklin History as well as Ftfa Franklin Performance.
  
Please specify Ftfa Franklin's target price for which you would like Ftfa Franklin odds to be computed.

Ftfa Franklin Target Price Odds to finish below 20.79

The tendency of Ftfa Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 20.79  or more in 90 days
 21.21 90 days 20.79 
about 49.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ftfa Franklin to drop to $ 20.79  or more in 90 days from now is about 49.32 (This Ftfa Franklin Templeton Growth probability density function shows the probability of Ftfa Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ftfa Franklin Templeton price to stay between $ 20.79  and its current price of $21.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.53 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ftfa Franklin has a beta of 0.53. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Ftfa Franklin average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ftfa Franklin Templeton Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ftfa Franklin Templeton Growth has an alpha of 0.0239, implying that it can generate a 0.0239 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ftfa Franklin Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ftfa Franklin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ftfa Franklin Templeton. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.0521.5522.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.6721.1721.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.7721.2821.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.3520.8521.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ftfa Franklin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ftfa Franklin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ftfa Franklin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ftfa Franklin Templeton.

Ftfa Franklin Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ftfa Franklin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ftfa Franklin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ftfa Franklin Templeton Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ftfa Franklin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.53
σ
Overall volatility
0.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Ftfa Franklin Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ftfa Franklin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ftfa Franklin Templeton can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Goldman Sachs Initiates Coverage of Darden Restaurants with Neutral Recommendation - MSN
The fund retains about 12.81% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Ftfa Franklin Technical Analysis

Ftfa Franklin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ftfa Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ftfa Franklin Templeton Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ftfa Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ftfa Franklin Predictive Forecast Models

Ftfa Franklin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ftfa Franklin's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ftfa Franklin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ftfa Franklin Templeton

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ftfa Franklin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ftfa Franklin Templeton help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Goldman Sachs Initiates Coverage of Darden Restaurants with Neutral Recommendation - MSN
The fund retains about 12.81% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Ftfa Mutual Fund

Ftfa Franklin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ftfa Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ftfa with respect to the benefits of owning Ftfa Franklin security.
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