Federated Investors B Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 39.19
| FHI Stock | USD 42.33 0.22 0.52% |
Federated |
Federated Investors Target Price Odds to finish below 39.19
The tendency of Federated Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 39.19 or more in 90 days |
| 42.33 | 90 days | 39.19 | about 54.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federated Investors to drop to $ 39.19 or more in 90 days from now is about 54.8 (This Federated Investors B probability density function shows the probability of Federated Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Federated Investors price to stay between $ 39.19 and its current price of $42.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.24 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Federated Investors has a beta of 0.96. This usually indicates Federated Investors B market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Federated Investors is expected to follow. Additionally Federated Investors B has an alpha of 0.2484, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Federated Investors Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Federated Investors
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federated Investors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Federated Investors Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federated Investors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federated Investors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federated Investors B, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federated Investors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.96 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
Federated Investors Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federated Investors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federated Investors can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Federated Investors has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Federated Investors paid $ 0.31 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 18700 shares by Thomas Donahue of Federated Investors subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Federated Investors Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Federated Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Federated Investors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Federated Investors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 560.7 M |
Federated Investors Technical Analysis
Federated Investors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Federated Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Federated Investors B. In general, you should focus on analyzing Federated Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Federated Investors Predictive Forecast Models
Federated Investors' time-series forecasting models is one of many Federated Investors' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Federated Investors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Federated Investors
Checking the ongoing alerts about Federated Investors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Federated Investors help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Federated Investors has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Federated Investors paid $ 0.31 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 18700 shares by Thomas Donahue of Federated Investors subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Federated Investors Backtesting, Federated Investors Valuation, Federated Investors Correlation, Federated Investors Hype Analysis, Federated Investors Volatility, Federated Investors History as well as Federated Investors Performance. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Federated Investors. If investors know Federated will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Federated Investors listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.237 | Dividend Share 1.18 | Earnings Share 3.16 | Revenue Per Share 19.903 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.014 |
The market value of Federated Investors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Federated that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Federated Investors' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Federated Investors' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Federated Investors' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Federated Investors' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Federated Investors' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Federated Investors is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Federated Investors' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.