Financiere Marjos (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.096

FINM Stock  EUR 0.12  0.02  20.00%   
Financiere Marjos' future price is the expected price of Financiere Marjos instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Financiere Marjos SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Financiere Marjos Backtesting, Financiere Marjos Valuation, Financiere Marjos Correlation, Financiere Marjos Hype Analysis, Financiere Marjos Volatility, Financiere Marjos History as well as Financiere Marjos Performance.
  
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Financiere Marjos Target Price Odds to finish below 0.096

The tendency of Financiere Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.1  or more in 90 days
 0.12 90 days 0.1 
about 83.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Financiere Marjos to drop to € 0.1  or more in 90 days from now is about 83.64 (This Financiere Marjos SA probability density function shows the probability of Financiere Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Financiere Marjos price to stay between € 0.1  and its current price of €0.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Financiere Marjos SA has a beta of -0.2. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Financiere Marjos are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Financiere Marjos SA is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Financiere Marjos SA has an alpha of 1.0643, implying that it can generate a 1.06 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Financiere Marjos Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Financiere Marjos

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Financiere Marjos. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.125.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.095.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.125.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.050.090.12
Details

Financiere Marjos Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Financiere Marjos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Financiere Marjos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Financiere Marjos SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Financiere Marjos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Financiere Marjos Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Financiere Marjos for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Financiere Marjos can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Financiere Marjos is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Financiere Marjos has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Financiere Marjos appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Financiere Marjos has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company has a current ratio of 0.34, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Financiere Marjos until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Financiere Marjos' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Financiere Marjos sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Financiere to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Financiere Marjos' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (712.11 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (671.45 K).
About 96.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Financiere Marjos Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Financiere Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Financiere Marjos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Financiere Marjos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20 M
Cash And Short Term Investments12.00

Financiere Marjos Technical Analysis

Financiere Marjos' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Financiere Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Financiere Marjos SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Financiere Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Financiere Marjos Predictive Forecast Models

Financiere Marjos' time-series forecasting models is one of many Financiere Marjos' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Financiere Marjos' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Financiere Marjos

Checking the ongoing alerts about Financiere Marjos for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Financiere Marjos help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Financiere Marjos is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Financiere Marjos has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Financiere Marjos appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Financiere Marjos has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company has a current ratio of 0.34, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Financiere Marjos until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Financiere Marjos' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Financiere Marjos sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Financiere to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Financiere Marjos' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (712.11 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (671.45 K).
About 96.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Financiere Stock

Financiere Marjos financial ratios help investors to determine whether Financiere Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Financiere with respect to the benefits of owning Financiere Marjos security.