FIT INVEST (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4217.16

FIT Stock   4,180  20.00  0.48%   
FIT INVEST's future price is the expected price of FIT INVEST instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FIT INVEST JSC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FIT INVEST Backtesting, FIT INVEST Valuation, FIT INVEST Correlation, FIT INVEST Hype Analysis, FIT INVEST Volatility, FIT INVEST History as well as FIT INVEST Performance.
  
Please specify FIT INVEST's target price for which you would like FIT INVEST odds to be computed.

FIT INVEST Target Price Odds to finish over 4217.16

The tendency of FIT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  4,217  or more in 90 days
 4,180 90 days 4,217 
about 76.68
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FIT INVEST to move over  4,217  or more in 90 days from now is about 76.68 (This FIT INVEST JSC probability density function shows the probability of FIT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FIT INVEST JSC price to stay between its current price of  4,180  and  4,217  at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FIT INVEST has a beta of 0.0473. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FIT INVEST average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FIT INVEST JSC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FIT INVEST JSC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   FIT INVEST Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FIT INVEST

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FIT INVEST JSC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,1794,1804,181
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,9063,9084,598
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,2964,2974,298
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,1794,1944,210
Details

FIT INVEST Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FIT INVEST is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FIT INVEST's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FIT INVEST JSC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FIT INVEST within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
103.98
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

FIT INVEST Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FIT INVEST for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FIT INVEST JSC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FIT INVEST JSC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

FIT INVEST Technical Analysis

FIT INVEST's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FIT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FIT INVEST JSC. In general, you should focus on analyzing FIT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FIT INVEST Predictive Forecast Models

FIT INVEST's time-series forecasting models is one of many FIT INVEST's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FIT INVEST's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FIT INVEST JSC

Checking the ongoing alerts about FIT INVEST for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FIT INVEST JSC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FIT INVEST JSC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in FIT Stock

FIT INVEST financial ratios help investors to determine whether FIT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FIT with respect to the benefits of owning FIT INVEST security.