Flap Kongre (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.49

FLAP Stock  TRY 9.07  0.03  0.33%   
Flap Kongre's future price is the expected price of Flap Kongre instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Flap Kongre Toplanti performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Flap Kongre Backtesting, Flap Kongre Valuation, Flap Kongre Correlation, Flap Kongre Hype Analysis, Flap Kongre Volatility, Flap Kongre History as well as Flap Kongre Performance.
  
Please specify Flap Kongre's target price for which you would like Flap Kongre odds to be computed.

Flap Kongre Target Price Odds to finish over 8.49

The tendency of Flap Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  8.49  in 90 days
 9.07 90 days 8.49 
about 88.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flap Kongre to stay above  8.49  in 90 days from now is about 88.15 (This Flap Kongre Toplanti probability density function shows the probability of Flap Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Flap Kongre Toplanti price to stay between  8.49  and its current price of 9.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Flap Kongre has a beta of 0.0449. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Flap Kongre average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Flap Kongre Toplanti will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Flap Kongre Toplanti has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Flap Kongre Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Flap Kongre

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flap Kongre Toplanti. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.509.0712.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.018.5812.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.928.4912.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.569.039.50
Details

Flap Kongre Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flap Kongre is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flap Kongre's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flap Kongre Toplanti, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flap Kongre within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Flap Kongre Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flap Kongre for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flap Kongre Toplanti can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flap Kongre Toplanti generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Flap Kongre Toplanti has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Flap Kongre Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Flap Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Flap Kongre's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flap Kongre's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding93.8 M

Flap Kongre Technical Analysis

Flap Kongre's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flap Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flap Kongre Toplanti. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flap Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Flap Kongre Predictive Forecast Models

Flap Kongre's time-series forecasting models is one of many Flap Kongre's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flap Kongre's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Flap Kongre Toplanti

Checking the ongoing alerts about Flap Kongre for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flap Kongre Toplanti help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flap Kongre Toplanti generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Flap Kongre Toplanti has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Flap Stock Analysis

When running Flap Kongre's price analysis, check to measure Flap Kongre's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flap Kongre is operating at the current time. Most of Flap Kongre's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flap Kongre's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flap Kongre's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flap Kongre to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.