Flora Growth Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.05

FLGC Stock  USD 1.07  0.06  5.94%   
Flora Growth's future price is the expected price of Flora Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Flora Growth Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Flora Growth Backtesting, Flora Growth Valuation, Flora Growth Correlation, Flora Growth Hype Analysis, Flora Growth Volatility, Flora Growth History as well as Flora Growth Performance.
  
At present, Flora Growth's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Book Ratio is expected to grow to 1.63, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.12. Please specify Flora Growth's target price for which you would like Flora Growth odds to be computed.

Flora Growth Target Price Odds to finish below 1.05

The tendency of Flora Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 1.05  or more in 90 days
 1.07 90 days 1.05 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flora Growth to drop to $ 1.05  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Flora Growth Corp probability density function shows the probability of Flora Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Flora Growth Corp price to stay between $ 1.05  and its current price of $1.07 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Flora Growth has a beta of 0.58. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Flora Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Flora Growth Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Flora Growth Corp has an alpha of 0.3794, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Flora Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Flora Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flora Growth Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.019.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.295.7514.48
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.2020.0022.20
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.2-0.2-0.2
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Flora Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Flora Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Flora Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Flora Growth Corp.

Flora Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flora Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flora Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flora Growth Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flora Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.58
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Flora Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flora Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flora Growth Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flora Growth Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Flora Growth Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Flora Growth Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Flora Growth Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 76.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.42 M.
Flora Growth Corp currently holds about 10.27 M in cash with (8.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.13.
Roughly 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from investing.com: Flora Growth grants stock awards and rights to executives

Flora Growth Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Flora Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Flora Growth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flora Growth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.3 M

Flora Growth Technical Analysis

Flora Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flora Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flora Growth Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flora Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Flora Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Flora Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Flora Growth's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flora Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Flora Growth Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Flora Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flora Growth Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flora Growth Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Flora Growth Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Flora Growth Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Flora Growth Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 76.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.42 M.
Flora Growth Corp currently holds about 10.27 M in cash with (8.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.13.
Roughly 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from investing.com: Flora Growth grants stock awards and rights to executives
When determining whether Flora Growth Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Flora Growth's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Flora Growth Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Flora Growth Corp Stock:
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Flora Growth. If investors know Flora will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Flora Growth listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.35)
Revenue Per Share
7.41
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.27)
Return On Assets
(0.17)
Return On Equity
(1.35)
The market value of Flora Growth Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Flora that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Flora Growth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Flora Growth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Flora Growth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Flora Growth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Flora Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Flora Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Flora Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.