Falmaco Nonwoven (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 77.55
| FLMC Stock | 83.00 1.00 1.22% |
Falmaco |
Falmaco Nonwoven Target Price Odds to finish below 77.55
The tendency of Falmaco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 77.55 or more in 90 days |
| 83.00 | 90 days | 77.55 | about 18.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Falmaco Nonwoven to drop to 77.55 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.7 (This Falmaco Nonwoven Industri probability density function shows the probability of Falmaco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri price to stay between 77.55 and its current price of 83.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Falmaco Nonwoven Industri has a beta of -1.0. This usually indicates Additionally Falmaco Nonwoven Industri has an alpha of 0.5381, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Falmaco Nonwoven Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Falmaco Nonwoven
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Falmaco Nonwoven Industri. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Falmaco Nonwoven Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Falmaco Nonwoven is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Falmaco Nonwoven's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Falmaco Nonwoven Industri, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Falmaco Nonwoven within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Falmaco Nonwoven Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Falmaco Nonwoven for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Falmaco Nonwoven Industri can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Falmaco Nonwoven had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Falmaco Nonwoven Technical Analysis
Falmaco Nonwoven's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Falmaco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri. In general, you should focus on analyzing Falmaco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Falmaco Nonwoven Predictive Forecast Models
Falmaco Nonwoven's time-series forecasting models is one of many Falmaco Nonwoven's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Falmaco Nonwoven's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Falmaco Nonwoven Industri
Checking the ongoing alerts about Falmaco Nonwoven for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Falmaco Nonwoven Industri help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Falmaco Nonwoven had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Falmaco Stock
Falmaco Nonwoven financial ratios help investors to determine whether Falmaco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Falmaco with respect to the benefits of owning Falmaco Nonwoven security.