Fluor Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 54.88

FLR Stock  USD 56.05  1.35  2.47%   
Fluor's future price is the expected price of Fluor instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fluor performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fluor Backtesting, Fluor Valuation, Fluor Correlation, Fluor Hype Analysis, Fluor Volatility, Fluor History as well as Fluor Performance.
To learn how to invest in Fluor Stock, please use our How to Invest in Fluor guide.
  
At this time, Fluor's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/04/2024, Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to grow to 58.20, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.28. Please specify Fluor's target price for which you would like Fluor odds to be computed.

Fluor Target Price Odds to finish below 54.88

The tendency of Fluor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 54.88  or more in 90 days
 56.05 90 days 54.88 
about 86.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fluor to drop to $ 54.88  or more in 90 days from now is about 86.62 (This Fluor probability density function shows the probability of Fluor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fluor price to stay between $ 54.88  and its current price of $56.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.53 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.88 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Fluor will likely underperform. Additionally Fluor has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fluor Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fluor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fluor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.0654.8757.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.7547.5660.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
54.4157.2260.02
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
38.2242.0046.62
Details

Fluor Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fluor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fluor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fluor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fluor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.88
σ
Overall volatility
3.79
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Fluor Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fluor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fluor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fluor has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Modular Construction Market in the US to grow by USD 7.37 Billion , with on-site constraints boosting revenue Report on AI-driven market evolution - Technavio

Fluor Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fluor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fluor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fluor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding153 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.6 B

Fluor Technical Analysis

Fluor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fluor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fluor. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fluor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fluor Predictive Forecast Models

Fluor's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fluor's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fluor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fluor

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fluor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fluor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fluor has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Modular Construction Market in the US to grow by USD 7.37 Billion , with on-site constraints boosting revenue Report on AI-driven market evolution - Technavio

Additional Tools for Fluor Stock Analysis

When running Fluor's price analysis, check to measure Fluor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fluor is operating at the current time. Most of Fluor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fluor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fluor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fluor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.