Matson Money Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 37.98
| FMVUX Fund | USD 37.03 0.15 0.40% |
Matson |
Matson Money Target Price Odds to finish below 37.98
The tendency of Matson Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 37.98 after 90 days |
| 37.03 | 90 days | 37.98 | over 95.9 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Matson Money to stay under $ 37.98 after 90 days from now is over 95.9 (This Matson Money Equity probability density function shows the probability of Matson Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Matson Money Equity price to stay between its current price of $ 37.03 and $ 37.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.44 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.22 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Matson Money will likely underperform. Additionally Matson Money Equity has an alpha of 0.0066, implying that it can generate a 0.00663 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Matson Money Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Matson Money
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Matson Money Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Matson Money's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Matson Money Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Matson Money is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Matson Money's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Matson Money Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Matson Money within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Matson Money Technical Analysis
Matson Money's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Matson Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Matson Money Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Matson Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Matson Money Predictive Forecast Models
Matson Money's time-series forecasting models is one of many Matson Money's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Matson Money's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Matson Money in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Matson Money's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Matson Money options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Matson Mutual Fund
Matson Money financial ratios help investors to determine whether Matson Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Matson with respect to the benefits of owning Matson Money security.
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