Franklin New York Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.15

FNYAX Fund  USD 10.13  0.02  0.20%   
Franklin New's future price is the expected price of Franklin New instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Franklin New York performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Franklin New Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Franklin New Correlation, Franklin New Hype Analysis, Franklin New Volatility, Franklin New History as well as Franklin New Performance.
  
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Franklin New Target Price Odds to finish over 10.15

The tendency of Franklin Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.15  or more in 90 days
 10.13 90 days 10.15 
about 6.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Franklin New to move over $ 10.15  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.95 (This Franklin New York probability density function shows the probability of Franklin Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Franklin New York price to stay between its current price of $ 10.13  and $ 10.15  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.88 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Franklin New York has a beta of -0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Franklin New are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Franklin New York is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Franklin New York has an alpha of 0.015, implying that it can generate a 0.015 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Franklin New Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Franklin New

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin New York. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.8510.1310.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.329.6011.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.8210.1110.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.8710.0310.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Franklin New. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Franklin New's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Franklin New's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Franklin New York.

Franklin New Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Franklin New is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Franklin New's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Franklin New York, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Franklin New within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.41

Franklin New Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Franklin New for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Franklin New York can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Franklin New York retains about 100.0% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Franklin New Technical Analysis

Franklin New's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Franklin Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Franklin New York. In general, you should focus on analyzing Franklin Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Franklin New Predictive Forecast Models

Franklin New's time-series forecasting models is one of many Franklin New's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Franklin New's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Franklin New York

Checking the ongoing alerts about Franklin New for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Franklin New York help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Franklin New York retains about 100.0% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Franklin Mutual Fund

Franklin New financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin New security.
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