Four Leaf Acquisition Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.02
| FORL Stock | 11.07 0.03 0.27% |
Four |
Four Leaf Target Price Odds to finish below 11.02
The tendency of Four Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 11.02 or more in 90 days |
| 11.07 | 90 days | 11.02 | about 46.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Four Leaf to drop to 11.02 or more in 90 days from now is about 46.11 (This Four Leaf Acquisition probability density function shows the probability of Four Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Four Leaf Acquisition price to stay between 11.02 and its current price of 11.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.34 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Four Leaf has a beta of 0.0093. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Four Leaf average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Four Leaf Acquisition will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Four Leaf Acquisition has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Four Leaf Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Four Leaf
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Four Leaf Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Four Leaf Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Four Leaf is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Four Leaf's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Four Leaf Acquisition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Four Leaf within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0028 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -1.16 |
Four Leaf Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Four Leaf for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Four Leaf Acquisition can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Four Leaf generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Four Leaf has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 27929 shares by Aqr Capital Management Holdings, Llc of Four Leaf at 11.5 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Four Leaf Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Four Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Four Leaf's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Four Leaf's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.6 K |
Four Leaf Technical Analysis
Four Leaf's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Four Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Four Leaf Acquisition. In general, you should focus on analyzing Four Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Four Leaf Predictive Forecast Models
Four Leaf's time-series forecasting models is one of many Four Leaf's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Four Leaf's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Four Leaf Acquisition
Checking the ongoing alerts about Four Leaf for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Four Leaf Acquisition help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Four Leaf generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Four Leaf has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 27929 shares by Aqr Capital Management Holdings, Llc of Four Leaf at 11.5 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Four Leaf Backtesting, Four Leaf Valuation, Four Leaf Correlation, Four Leaf Hype Analysis, Four Leaf Volatility, Four Leaf History as well as Four Leaf Performance. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Four Leaf. If investors know Four will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Four Leaf listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | Earnings Share 0.1 | Return On Assets (0.02) | Return On Equity 2.1828 |
The market value of Four Leaf Acquisition is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Four that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Four Leaf's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Four Leaf's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Four Leaf's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Four Leaf's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Four Leaf's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Four Leaf is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Four Leaf's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.