Forrester Research Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.75
| FORR Stock | USD 15.53 0.01 0.06% |
Forrester |
Forrester Research Target Price Odds to finish below 9.75
The tendency of Forrester Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.75 or more in 90 days |
| 15.53 | 90 days | 9.75 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Forrester Research to drop to $ 9.75 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Forrester Research probability density function shows the probability of Forrester Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Forrester Research price to stay between $ 9.75 and its current price of $15.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.93 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.38 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Forrester Research will likely underperform. Additionally Forrester Research has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Forrester Research Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Forrester Research
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Forrester Research. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Forrester Research Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Forrester Research is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Forrester Research's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Forrester Research, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Forrester Research within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Forrester Research Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Forrester Research for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Forrester Research can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Forrester Research generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Forrester Research currently holds 86.85 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.58, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Forrester Research has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Forrester Research's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 56.0% of Forrester Research shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from arstechnica.com: As firms abandon VMware, Broadcom is laughing all the way to the bank |
Forrester Research Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Forrester Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Forrester Research's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Forrester Research's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 124.5 M |
Forrester Research Technical Analysis
Forrester Research's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Forrester Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Forrester Research. In general, you should focus on analyzing Forrester Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Forrester Research Predictive Forecast Models
Forrester Research's time-series forecasting models is one of many Forrester Research's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Forrester Research's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Forrester Research
Checking the ongoing alerts about Forrester Research for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Forrester Research help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Forrester Research generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Forrester Research currently holds 86.85 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.58, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Forrester Research has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Forrester Research's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 56.0% of Forrester Research shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from arstechnica.com: As firms abandon VMware, Broadcom is laughing all the way to the bank |
Additional Tools for Forrester Stock Analysis
When running Forrester Research's price analysis, check to measure Forrester Research's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forrester Research is operating at the current time. Most of Forrester Research's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forrester Research's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forrester Research's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forrester Research to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.