Union Technologies (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.97

FPG Stock  EUR 0.21  0.01  4.55%   
Union Technologies' future price is the expected price of Union Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Union Technologies Informatique performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Union Technologies Backtesting, Union Technologies Valuation, Union Technologies Correlation, Union Technologies Hype Analysis, Union Technologies Volatility, Union Technologies History as well as Union Technologies Performance.
  
Please specify Union Technologies' target price for which you would like Union Technologies odds to be computed.

Union Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 11.97

The tendency of Union Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 11.97  or more in 90 days
 0.21 90 days 11.97 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Union Technologies to move over € 11.97  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Union Technologies Informatique probability density function shows the probability of Union Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Union Technologies price to stay between its current price of € 0.21  and € 11.97  at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.3 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Union Technologies Informatique has a beta of -0.27. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Union Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Union Technologies Informatique is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Union Technologies Informatique has an alpha of 0.3331, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Union Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Union Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Union Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.214.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.174.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.224.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.200.210.22
Details

Union Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Union Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Union Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Union Technologies Informatique, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Union Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Union Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Union Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Union Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Union Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Union Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Union Technologies Informatique has accumulated 995 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 19.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Union Technologies has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Union Technologies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Union Technologies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Union Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Union to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Union Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 17.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (330 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 466 K.
Union Technologies Informatique has accumulated about 992 K in cash with (934 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11.
Roughly 56.0% of Union Technologies shares are held by company insiders

Union Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Union Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Union Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Union Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments509 K

Union Technologies Technical Analysis

Union Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Union Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Union Technologies Informatique. In general, you should focus on analyzing Union Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Union Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

Union Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Union Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Union Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Union Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Union Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Union Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Union Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Union Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Union Technologies Informatique has accumulated 995 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 19.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Union Technologies has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Union Technologies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Union Technologies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Union Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Union to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Union Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 17.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (330 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 466 K.
Union Technologies Informatique has accumulated about 992 K in cash with (934 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11.
Roughly 56.0% of Union Technologies shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Union Stock

Union Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether Union Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Union with respect to the benefits of owning Union Technologies security.