Frequentis (Austria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 32.91

FQT Stock  EUR 28.10  1.00  3.69%   
Frequentis' future price is the expected price of Frequentis instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Frequentis AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Frequentis Backtesting, Frequentis Valuation, Frequentis Correlation, Frequentis Hype Analysis, Frequentis Volatility, Frequentis History as well as Frequentis Performance.
  
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Frequentis Target Price Odds to finish over 32.91

The tendency of Frequentis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 32.91  or more in 90 days
 28.10 90 days 32.91 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Frequentis to move over € 32.91  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Frequentis AG probability density function shows the probability of Frequentis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Frequentis AG price to stay between its current price of € 28.10  and € 32.91  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Frequentis AG has a beta of -0.26. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Frequentis are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Frequentis AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Frequentis AG has an alpha of 0.1138, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Frequentis Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Frequentis

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Frequentis AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.2528.1029.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.6822.5330.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.3828.2230.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.9425.2228.50
Details

Frequentis Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Frequentis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Frequentis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Frequentis AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Frequentis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
1.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.0001

Frequentis Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Frequentis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Frequentis AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Frequentis Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Frequentis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Frequentis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Frequentis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.3 M

Frequentis Technical Analysis

Frequentis' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Frequentis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Frequentis AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Frequentis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Frequentis Predictive Forecast Models

Frequentis' time-series forecasting models is one of many Frequentis' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Frequentis' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Frequentis AG

Checking the ongoing alerts about Frequentis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Frequentis AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Frequentis Stock

Frequentis financial ratios help investors to determine whether Frequentis Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Frequentis with respect to the benefits of owning Frequentis security.