Prudential Floating Rate Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.04

FRFCX Fund  USD 9.15  0.01  0.11%   
Prudential Floating's future price is the expected price of Prudential Floating instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Prudential Floating Rate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Prudential Floating Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Prudential Floating Correlation, Prudential Floating Hype Analysis, Prudential Floating Volatility, Prudential Floating History as well as Prudential Floating Performance.
  
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Prudential Floating Target Price Odds to finish below 9.04

The tendency of Prudential Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.04  or more in 90 days
 9.15 90 days 9.04 
about 30.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prudential Floating to drop to $ 9.04  or more in 90 days from now is about 30.39 (This Prudential Floating Rate probability density function shows the probability of Prudential Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Prudential Floating Rate price to stay between $ 9.04  and its current price of $9.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.16 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Prudential Floating has a beta of 0.0175. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Prudential Floating average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Prudential Floating Rate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Prudential Floating Rate has an alpha of 0.0144, implying that it can generate a 0.0144 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Prudential Floating Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Prudential Floating

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prudential Floating Rate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Prudential Floating's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.039.159.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.288.4010.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.019.139.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.149.159.15
Details

Prudential Floating Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prudential Floating is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prudential Floating's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prudential Floating Rate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prudential Floating within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -1.04

Prudential Floating Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Prudential Floating for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Prudential Floating Rate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 31.07% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Prudential Floating Technical Analysis

Prudential Floating's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prudential Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prudential Floating Rate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prudential Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Prudential Floating Predictive Forecast Models

Prudential Floating's time-series forecasting models is one of many Prudential Floating's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prudential Floating's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Prudential Floating Rate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Prudential Floating for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Prudential Floating Rate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 31.07% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Prudential Mutual Fund

Prudential Floating financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prudential Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prudential with respect to the benefits of owning Prudential Floating security.
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