Chemicals Portfolio Chemicals Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 15.57

FSCHX Fund  USD 15.57  0.07  0.45%   
Chemicals Portfolio's future price is the expected price of Chemicals Portfolio instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Chemicals Portfolio Chemicals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Chemicals Portfolio Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Chemicals Portfolio Correlation, Chemicals Portfolio Hype Analysis, Chemicals Portfolio Volatility, Chemicals Portfolio History as well as Chemicals Portfolio Performance.
  
Please specify Chemicals Portfolio's target price for which you would like Chemicals Portfolio odds to be computed.

Chemicals Portfolio Target Price Odds to finish over 15.57

The tendency of Chemicals Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.57 90 days 15.57 
about 29.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chemicals Portfolio to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 29.17 (This Chemicals Portfolio Chemicals probability density function shows the probability of Chemicals Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Chemicals Portfolio has a beta of 0.81. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Chemicals Portfolio average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chemicals Portfolio Chemicals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Chemicals Portfolio Chemicals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Chemicals Portfolio Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Chemicals Portfolio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chemicals Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.6915.5716.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.6315.5116.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.9515.8316.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.9215.3815.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chemicals Portfolio. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chemicals Portfolio's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chemicals Portfolio's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Chemicals Portfolio.

Chemicals Portfolio Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chemicals Portfolio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chemicals Portfolio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chemicals Portfolio Chemicals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chemicals Portfolio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.81
σ
Overall volatility
0.31
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Chemicals Portfolio Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chemicals Portfolio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chemicals Portfolio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.67% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Chemicals Portfolio Technical Analysis

Chemicals Portfolio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chemicals Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chemicals Portfolio Chemicals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chemicals Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Chemicals Portfolio Predictive Forecast Models

Chemicals Portfolio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chemicals Portfolio's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chemicals Portfolio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Chemicals Portfolio

Checking the ongoing alerts about Chemicals Portfolio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chemicals Portfolio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.67% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Chemicals Mutual Fund

Chemicals Portfolio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chemicals Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chemicals with respect to the benefits of owning Chemicals Portfolio security.
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data