Fidelity Special (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 316.78

FSV Stock   317.00  0.50  0.16%   
Fidelity Special's future price is the expected price of Fidelity Special instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fidelity Special Values performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fidelity Special Backtesting, Fidelity Special Valuation, Fidelity Special Correlation, Fidelity Special Hype Analysis, Fidelity Special Volatility, Fidelity Special History as well as Fidelity Special Performance.
  
Please specify Fidelity Special's target price for which you would like Fidelity Special odds to be computed.

Fidelity Special Target Price Odds to finish below 316.78

The tendency of Fidelity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  316.78  or more in 90 days
 317.00 90 days 316.78 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fidelity Special to drop to  316.78  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Fidelity Special Values probability density function shows the probability of Fidelity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fidelity Special Values price to stay between  316.78  and its current price of 317.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fidelity Special Values has a beta of -0.053. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fidelity Special are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fidelity Special Values is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fidelity Special Values has an alpha of 0.0163, implying that it can generate a 0.0163 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fidelity Special Price Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15280.4285.32290.24296.8301.72306.64311.56316.48319.76324.68Current PriceTargetFidelity Special Mean 0.010.020.030.040.050.060.07
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fidelity Special

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidelity Special Values. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
316.32317.03317.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
262.81263.52348.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
315.12315.83316.54
Details

Fidelity Special Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fidelity Special is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fidelity Special's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fidelity Special Values, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fidelity Special within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
5.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Fidelity Special Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fidelity Special for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fidelity Special Values can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: What Anthony Bolton has to say about investing now - This is Money

Fidelity Special Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fidelity Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fidelity Special's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fidelity Special's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding324.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments11.7 M

Fidelity Special Technical Analysis

Fidelity Special's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fidelity Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fidelity Special Values. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fidelity Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fidelity Special Predictive Forecast Models

Fidelity Special's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fidelity Special's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fidelity Special's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fidelity Special Values

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fidelity Special for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fidelity Special Values help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: What Anthony Bolton has to say about investing now - This is Money

Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Stock

Fidelity Special financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Special security.
News Freq…Investor S…