Fosterville South Exploration Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.47

FSXLF Stock  USD 0.35  0.03  9.37%   
Fosterville South's future price is the expected price of Fosterville South instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fosterville South Exploration performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fosterville South Backtesting, Fosterville South Valuation, Fosterville South Correlation, Fosterville South Hype Analysis, Fosterville South Volatility, Fosterville South History as well as Fosterville South Performance.
  
Please specify Fosterville South's target price for which you would like Fosterville South odds to be computed.

Fosterville South Target Price Odds to finish below 0.47

The tendency of Fosterville OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.47  after 90 days
 0.35 90 days 0.47 
about 72.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fosterville South to stay under $ 0.47  after 90 days from now is about 72.06 (This Fosterville South Exploration probability density function shows the probability of Fosterville OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fosterville South price to stay between its current price of $ 0.35  and $ 0.47  at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.14 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fosterville South has a beta of 0.25. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fosterville South average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fosterville South Exploration will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fosterville South Exploration has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fosterville South Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fosterville South

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fosterville South. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.354.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.334.71
Details

Fosterville South Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fosterville South is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fosterville South's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fosterville South Exploration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fosterville South within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Fosterville South Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fosterville South for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fosterville South can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fosterville South generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fosterville South has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Fosterville South has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Fosterville South has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (12.1 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (30.84 K).
Fosterville South Exploration has accumulated about 17.98 M in cash with (8.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.26.

Fosterville South Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fosterville OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fosterville South's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fosterville South's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding67.9 M

Fosterville South Technical Analysis

Fosterville South's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fosterville OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fosterville South Exploration. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fosterville OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fosterville South Predictive Forecast Models

Fosterville South's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fosterville South's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fosterville South's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fosterville South

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fosterville South for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fosterville South help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fosterville South generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fosterville South has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Fosterville South has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Fosterville South has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (12.1 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (30.84 K).
Fosterville South Exploration has accumulated about 17.98 M in cash with (8.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.26.

Other Information on Investing in Fosterville OTC Stock

Fosterville South financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fosterville OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fosterville with respect to the benefits of owning Fosterville South security.