Firan Technology Group Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 5.17

FTGFF Stock  USD 5.26  0.03  0.57%   
Firan Technology's future price is the expected price of Firan Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Firan Technology Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Firan Technology Backtesting, Firan Technology Valuation, Firan Technology Correlation, Firan Technology Hype Analysis, Firan Technology Volatility, Firan Technology History as well as Firan Technology Performance.
  
Please specify Firan Technology's target price for which you would like Firan Technology odds to be computed.

Firan Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 5.17

The tendency of Firan OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 5.17  or more in 90 days
 5.26 90 days 5.17 
about 79.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Firan Technology to drop to $ 5.17  or more in 90 days from now is about 79.53 (This Firan Technology Group probability density function shows the probability of Firan OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Firan Technology price to stay between $ 5.17  and its current price of $5.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.63 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Firan Technology Group has a beta of -0.14. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Firan Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Firan Technology Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Firan Technology Group has an alpha of 0.2404, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Firan Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Firan Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Firan Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.145.267.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.124.246.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.165.287.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.035.195.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Firan Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Firan Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Firan Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Firan Technology.

Firan Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Firan Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Firan Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Firan Technology Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Firan Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Firan Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Firan Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Firan Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Firan Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Firan OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Firan Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Firan Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.9 M
Short Long Term Debt913 K
Shares Float16 M

Firan Technology Technical Analysis

Firan Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Firan OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Firan Technology Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Firan OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Firan Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Firan Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Firan Technology's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Firan Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Firan Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Firan Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Firan Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Firan OTC Stock

Firan Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Firan OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Firan with respect to the benefits of owning Firan Technology security.