Fathom Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.60

FTHM Stock  USD 1.96  0.17  7.98%   
Fathom Holdings' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Fathom Holdings. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Fathom Holdings based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Fathom Holdings over a specific time period. For example, FTHM Option Call 15-11-2024 2 is a CALL option contract on Fathom Holdings' common stock with a strick price of 2.5 expiring on 2024-11-15. The contract was last traded on 2024-11-06 at 15:59:57 for $0.2 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.2. The implied volatility as of the 4th of December is 0.0. View All Fathom options

Closest to current price Fathom long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Fathom Holdings' future price is the expected price of Fathom Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fathom Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fathom Holdings Backtesting, Fathom Holdings Valuation, Fathom Holdings Correlation, Fathom Holdings Hype Analysis, Fathom Holdings Volatility, Fathom Holdings History as well as Fathom Holdings Performance.
To learn how to invest in Fathom Stock, please use our How to Invest in Fathom Holdings guide.
  
As of the 4th of December 2024, Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop to 0.16. In addition to that, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop to -2.56. Please specify Fathom Holdings' target price for which you would like Fathom Holdings odds to be computed.

Fathom Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 15.60

The tendency of Fathom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 15.60  or more in 90 days
 1.96 90 days 15.60 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fathom Holdings to move over $ 15.60  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Fathom Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Fathom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fathom Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 1.96  and $ 15.60  at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fathom Holdings has a beta of -0.22. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fathom Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fathom Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fathom Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fathom Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fathom Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fathom Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.101.976.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.193.718.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.447.19
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.319.1310.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fathom Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fathom Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fathom Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fathom Holdings.

Fathom Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fathom Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fathom Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fathom Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fathom Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Fathom Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fathom Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fathom Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fathom Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fathom Holdings may become a speculative penny stock
Fathom Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 345.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (23.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 32.47 M.
Fathom Holdings currently holds about 19.6 M in cash with (10.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.15.
Fathom Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Insider Buying Fathom Holdings Inc. Director Purchases 20,000 Shares of Stock

Fathom Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fathom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fathom Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fathom Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.5 M

Fathom Holdings Technical Analysis

Fathom Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fathom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fathom Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fathom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fathom Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Fathom Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Fathom Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fathom Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fathom Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fathom Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fathom Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fathom Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fathom Holdings may become a speculative penny stock
Fathom Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 345.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (23.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 32.47 M.
Fathom Holdings currently holds about 19.6 M in cash with (10.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.15.
Fathom Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Insider Buying Fathom Holdings Inc. Director Purchases 20,000 Shares of Stock
When determining whether Fathom Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fathom Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fathom Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fathom Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Fathom Holdings Backtesting, Fathom Holdings Valuation, Fathom Holdings Correlation, Fathom Holdings Hype Analysis, Fathom Holdings Volatility, Fathom Holdings History as well as Fathom Holdings Performance.
To learn how to invest in Fathom Stock, please use our How to Invest in Fathom Holdings guide.
You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fathom Holdings. If investors know Fathom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fathom Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.28)
Revenue Per Share
16.639
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.10)
Return On Assets
(0.17)
Return On Equity
(0.46)
The market value of Fathom Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fathom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fathom Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fathom Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fathom Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fathom Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fathom Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fathom Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fathom Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.