Fathom Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.84
| FTHM Stock | USD 1.92 0.11 5.42% |
Fathom |
Fathom Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 15.84
The tendency of Fathom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 15.84 or more in 90 days |
| 1.92 | 90 days | 15.84 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fathom Holdings to move over $ 15.84 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Fathom Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Fathom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fathom Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 1.92 and $ 15.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.67 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fathom Holdings has a beta of -0.17. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fathom Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fathom Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fathom Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Fathom Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fathom Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fathom Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fathom Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fathom Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fathom Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fathom Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fathom Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Fathom Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fathom Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fathom Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fathom Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fathom Holdings may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Fathom Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 345.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (23.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 32.47 M. | |
| Fathom Holdings currently holds about 19.6 M in cash with (10.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.15. | |
| Fathom Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 70000 shares by Marco Fregenal of Fathom Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Fathom Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fathom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fathom Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fathom Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.5 M |
Fathom Holdings Technical Analysis
Fathom Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fathom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fathom Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fathom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fathom Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Fathom Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Fathom Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fathom Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fathom Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fathom Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fathom Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fathom Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fathom Holdings may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Fathom Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 345.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (23.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 32.47 M. | |
| Fathom Holdings currently holds about 19.6 M in cash with (10.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.15. | |
| Fathom Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 70000 shares by Marco Fregenal of Fathom Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Fathom Holdings Backtesting, Fathom Holdings Valuation, Fathom Holdings Correlation, Fathom Holdings Hype Analysis, Fathom Holdings Volatility, Fathom Holdings History as well as Fathom Holdings Performance. To learn how to invest in Fathom Stock, please use our How to Invest in Fathom Holdings guide.You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fathom Holdings. If investors know Fathom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fathom Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.28) | Revenue Per Share 16.639 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) | Return On Assets (0.17) | Return On Equity (0.46) |
The market value of Fathom Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fathom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fathom Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fathom Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fathom Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fathom Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fathom Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fathom Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fathom Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.