Flowers Foods (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.09
| FWF Stock | EUR 20.20 0.20 0.98% |
Flowers |
Flowers Foods Target Price Odds to finish over 19.09
The tendency of Flowers Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 19.09 in 90 days |
| 20.20 | 90 days | 19.09 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flowers Foods to stay above € 19.09 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Flowers Foods probability density function shows the probability of Flowers Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Flowers Foods price to stay between € 19.09 and its current price of €20.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Flowers Foods has a beta of 0.81. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Flowers Foods average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Flowers Foods will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Flowers Foods has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Flowers Foods Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Flowers Foods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flowers Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Flowers Foods Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flowers Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flowers Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flowers Foods, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flowers Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Flowers Foods Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flowers Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flowers Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Flowers Foods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Flowers Foods has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Flowers Foods Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Flowers Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Flowers Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flowers Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 211.1 M |
Flowers Foods Technical Analysis
Flowers Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flowers Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flowers Foods. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flowers Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Flowers Foods Predictive Forecast Models
Flowers Foods' time-series forecasting models is one of many Flowers Foods' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flowers Foods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Flowers Foods
Checking the ongoing alerts about Flowers Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flowers Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Flowers Foods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Flowers Foods has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Flowers Stock
When determining whether Flowers Foods offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Flowers Foods' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Flowers Foods Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Flowers Foods Stock:Check out Flowers Foods Backtesting, Flowers Foods Valuation, Flowers Foods Correlation, Flowers Foods Hype Analysis, Flowers Foods Volatility, Flowers Foods History as well as Flowers Foods Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Flowers Stock please use our How to Invest in Flowers Foods guide.You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.