Fynske Bank (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 139.83

FYNBK Stock  DKK 136.00  5.00  3.55%   
Fynske Bank's future price is the expected price of Fynske Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fynske Bank AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fynske Bank Backtesting, Fynske Bank Valuation, Fynske Bank Correlation, Fynske Bank Hype Analysis, Fynske Bank Volatility, Fynske Bank History as well as Fynske Bank Performance.
  
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Fynske Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 139.83

The tendency of Fynske Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under kr 139.83  after 90 days
 136.00 90 days 139.83 
about 6.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fynske Bank to stay under kr 139.83  after 90 days from now is about 6.53 (This Fynske Bank AS probability density function shows the probability of Fynske Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fynske Bank AS price to stay between its current price of kr 136.00  and kr 139.83  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fynske Bank AS has a beta of -0.2. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fynske Bank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fynske Bank AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fynske Bank AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fynske Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fynske Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fynske Bank AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
134.58136.00137.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
116.18117.60149.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
137.22138.64140.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
137.62140.03142.44
Details

Fynske Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fynske Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fynske Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fynske Bank AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fynske Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
3.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Fynske Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fynske Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fynske Bank AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fynske Bank AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fynske Bank AS has accumulated about 4.15 B in cash with (9.05 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 549.64.
Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Fynske Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fynske Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fynske Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fynske Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.6 M
Dividends Paid12 M
Cash And Short Term Investments946.5 M

Fynske Bank Technical Analysis

Fynske Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fynske Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fynske Bank AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fynske Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fynske Bank Predictive Forecast Models

Fynske Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fynske Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fynske Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fynske Bank AS

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fynske Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fynske Bank AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fynske Bank AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fynske Bank AS has accumulated about 4.15 B in cash with (9.05 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 549.64.
Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Fynske Stock

Fynske Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fynske Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fynske with respect to the benefits of owning Fynske Bank security.