Gapwaves (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.47
| GAPW-B Stock | SEK 14.60 3.98 21.42% |
Gapwaves |
Gapwaves Target Price Odds to finish below 18.47
The tendency of Gapwaves Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under kr 18.47 after 90 days |
| 14.60 | 90 days | 18.47 | about 48.59 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gapwaves to stay under kr 18.47 after 90 days from now is about 48.59 (This Gapwaves AB Series probability density function shows the probability of Gapwaves Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gapwaves AB Series price to stay between its current price of kr 14.60 and kr 18.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gapwaves AB Series has a beta of -0.78. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gapwaves are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gapwaves AB Series is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Gapwaves AB Series has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Gapwaves Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gapwaves
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gapwaves AB Series. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gapwaves Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gapwaves is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gapwaves' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gapwaves AB Series, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gapwaves within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Gapwaves Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gapwaves for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gapwaves AB Series can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gapwaves AB Series generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Gapwaves AB Series has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Gapwaves AB Series has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 34.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (36.31 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (655 K). | |
| Gapwaves AB Series has accumulated about 61.69 M in cash with (41.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.53. | |
| Roughly 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Gapwaves Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gapwaves Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gapwaves' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gapwaves' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 211.2 M |
Gapwaves Technical Analysis
Gapwaves' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gapwaves Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gapwaves AB Series. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gapwaves Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gapwaves Predictive Forecast Models
Gapwaves' time-series forecasting models is one of many Gapwaves' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gapwaves' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gapwaves AB Series
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gapwaves for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gapwaves AB Series help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gapwaves AB Series generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Gapwaves AB Series has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Gapwaves AB Series has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 34.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (36.31 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (655 K). | |
| Gapwaves AB Series has accumulated about 61.69 M in cash with (41.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.53. | |
| Roughly 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Gapwaves Stock
Gapwaves financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gapwaves Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gapwaves with respect to the benefits of owning Gapwaves security.