Stealthgas Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.95

GASS Stock  USD 5.18  0.08  1.52%   
StealthGas' future price is the expected price of StealthGas instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of StealthGas performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out StealthGas Backtesting, StealthGas Valuation, StealthGas Correlation, StealthGas Hype Analysis, StealthGas Volatility, StealthGas History as well as StealthGas Performance.
For more information on how to buy StealthGas Stock please use our How to Invest in StealthGas guide.
  
At this time, StealthGas' Price Book Value Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to gain to 0.09 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 4.39 in 2024. Please specify StealthGas' target price for which you would like StealthGas odds to be computed.

StealthGas Target Price Odds to finish over 5.95

The tendency of StealthGas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 5.95  or more in 90 days
 5.18 90 days 5.95 
about 67.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of StealthGas to move over $ 5.95  or more in 90 days from now is about 67.64 (This StealthGas probability density function shows the probability of StealthGas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of StealthGas price to stay between its current price of $ 5.18  and $ 5.95  at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.46 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days StealthGas has a beta of 0.37. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, StealthGas average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding StealthGas will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally StealthGas has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   StealthGas Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for StealthGas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as StealthGas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of StealthGas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.095.057.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.066.027.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.994.956.91
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.288.008.88
Details

StealthGas Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. StealthGas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the StealthGas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold StealthGas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of StealthGas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

StealthGas Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of StealthGas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for StealthGas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
StealthGas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
StealthGas is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
StealthGas has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: StealthGas A Speculative Growth Story - Seeking Alpha

StealthGas Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of StealthGas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential StealthGas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. StealthGas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments77.2 M

StealthGas Technical Analysis

StealthGas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. StealthGas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of StealthGas. In general, you should focus on analyzing StealthGas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

StealthGas Predictive Forecast Models

StealthGas' time-series forecasting models is one of many StealthGas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary StealthGas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about StealthGas

Checking the ongoing alerts about StealthGas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for StealthGas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
StealthGas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
StealthGas is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
StealthGas has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: StealthGas A Speculative Growth Story - Seeking Alpha

Additional Tools for StealthGas Stock Analysis

When running StealthGas' price analysis, check to measure StealthGas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy StealthGas is operating at the current time. Most of StealthGas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of StealthGas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move StealthGas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of StealthGas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.