Gbx International Group Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.072
| GBXI Stock | USD 0.0002 0.00 0.00% |
GBX |
GBX International Target Price Odds to finish over 0.072
The tendency of GBX Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.07 or more in 90 days |
| 0.0002 | 90 days | 0.07 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GBX International to move over $ 0.07 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This GBX International Group probability density function shows the probability of GBX Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GBX International price to stay between its current price of $ 0.0002 and $ 0.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.89 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days GBX International Group has a beta of -2.49. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding GBX International Group are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, GBX International is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that GBX International Group has an alpha of 2.3181, implying that it can generate a 2.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GBX International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GBX International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GBX International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GBX International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GBX International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GBX International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GBX International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GBX International Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GBX International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.00005 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
GBX International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GBX International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GBX International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GBX International is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| GBX International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| GBX International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| GBX International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist GBX International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, GBX International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like GBX International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for GBX to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about GBX International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| GBX International reported the previous year's revenue of 113.83 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 153.93 K. | |
| GBX International Group currently holds about 32.87 K in cash with (369.86 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: FTAC Emerald Acquisition Corp. Announces Special Meeting of Stockholders to be Held on December ... |
GBX International Technical Analysis
GBX International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GBX Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GBX International Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing GBX Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GBX International Predictive Forecast Models
GBX International's time-series forecasting models is one of many GBX International's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GBX International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GBX International
Checking the ongoing alerts about GBX International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GBX International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GBX International is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| GBX International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| GBX International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| GBX International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist GBX International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, GBX International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like GBX International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for GBX to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about GBX International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| GBX International reported the previous year's revenue of 113.83 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 153.93 K. | |
| GBX International Group currently holds about 32.87 K in cash with (369.86 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: FTAC Emerald Acquisition Corp. Announces Special Meeting of Stockholders to be Held on December ... |
Other Information on Investing in GBX Pink Sheet
GBX International financial ratios help investors to determine whether GBX Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GBX with respect to the benefits of owning GBX International security.