Global Connections (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.0

GC Stock  THB 4.98  0.02  0.40%   
Global Connections' future price is the expected price of Global Connections instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Global Connections Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Global Connections Backtesting, Global Connections Valuation, Global Connections Correlation, Global Connections Hype Analysis, Global Connections Volatility, Global Connections History as well as Global Connections Performance.
  
Please specify Global Connections' target price for which you would like Global Connections odds to be computed.

Global Connections Target Price Odds to finish below 5.0

The tendency of Global Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  5.00  after 90 days
 4.98 90 days 5.00 
about 35.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Connections to stay under  5.00  after 90 days from now is about 35.69 (This Global Connections Public probability density function shows the probability of Global Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Global Connections Public price to stay between its current price of  4.98  and  5.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.8 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Global Connections has a beta of 0.0121. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Global Connections average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Global Connections Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Global Connections Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Global Connections Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Global Connections

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Connections Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.454.985.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.475.005.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Global Connections. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Global Connections' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Global Connections' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Global Connections Public.

Global Connections Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Connections is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Connections' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Connections Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Connections within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Global Connections Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Connections for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Connections Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Connections generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Global Connections Public has accumulated about 58.78 M in cash with (99.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.13.
Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Global Connections Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Global Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Global Connections' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Connections' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding200 M

Global Connections Technical Analysis

Global Connections' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Connections Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Global Connections Predictive Forecast Models

Global Connections' time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Connections' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Connections' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Global Connections Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Connections for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global Connections Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Connections generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Global Connections Public has accumulated about 58.78 M in cash with (99.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.13.
Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Global Stock

Global Connections financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Connections security.