G Capital (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.41

GCAP Stock  THB 0.35  0.01  2.94%   
G Capital's future price is the expected price of G Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of G Capital Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out G Capital Backtesting, G Capital Valuation, G Capital Correlation, G Capital Hype Analysis, G Capital Volatility, G Capital History as well as G Capital Performance.
  
Please specify G Capital's target price for which you would like G Capital odds to be computed.

G Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 4.41

The tendency of GCAP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  4.41  or more in 90 days
 0.35 90 days 4.41 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of G Capital to move over  4.41  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This G Capital Public probability density function shows the probability of GCAP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of G Capital Public price to stay between its current price of  0.35  and  4.41  at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon G Capital Public has a beta of -1.27. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding G Capital Public are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, G Capital is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally G Capital Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   G Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for G Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as G Capital Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.354.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.344.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.374.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.310.480.66
Details

G Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. G Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the G Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold G Capital Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of G Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.87
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

G Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of G Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for G Capital Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
G Capital Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
G Capital Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
G Capital Public has high historical volatility and very poor performance
G Capital Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 238.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (58.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 62.06 M.
About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

G Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GCAP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential G Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. G Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding300 M

G Capital Technical Analysis

G Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GCAP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of G Capital Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing GCAP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

G Capital Predictive Forecast Models

G Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many G Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary G Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about G Capital Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about G Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for G Capital Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
G Capital Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
G Capital Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
G Capital Public has high historical volatility and very poor performance
G Capital Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 238.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (58.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 62.06 M.
About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in GCAP Stock

G Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether GCAP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GCAP with respect to the benefits of owning G Capital security.