Gannett Co Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.15
| GCI Stock | USD 5.16 0.25 5.09% |
Gannett |
Gannett Target Price Odds to finish over 17.15
The tendency of Gannett Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 17.15 or more in 90 days |
| 5.16 | 90 days | 17.15 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gannett to move over $ 17.15 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Gannett Co probability density function shows the probability of Gannett Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gannett price to stay between its current price of $ 5.16 and $ 17.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.17 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.24 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Gannett will likely underperform. Additionally Gannett Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Gannett Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gannett
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gannett. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gannett's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gannett Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gannett is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gannett's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gannett Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gannett within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Gannett Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gannett for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gannett can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gannett generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Gannett has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Gannett Co has 1.29 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.3, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Gannett has a current ratio of 0.79, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Gannett to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 2.66 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (27.79 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.08 B. | |
| Over 79.0% of Gannett shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is Gannett Co., Inc. the Best News and Digital Media Stock to Buy |
Gannett Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gannett Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gannett's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gannett's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 139.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 100.2 M |
Gannett Technical Analysis
Gannett's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gannett Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gannett Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gannett Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gannett Predictive Forecast Models
Gannett's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gannett's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gannett's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gannett
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gannett for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gannett help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gannett generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Gannett has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Gannett Co has 1.29 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.3, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Gannett has a current ratio of 0.79, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Gannett to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 2.66 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (27.79 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.08 B. | |
| Over 79.0% of Gannett shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is Gannett Co., Inc. the Best News and Digital Media Stock to Buy |
Check out Gannett Backtesting, Gannett Valuation, Gannett Correlation, Gannett Hype Analysis, Gannett Volatility, Gannett History as well as Gannett Performance. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gannett. If investors know Gannett will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gannett listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.80) | Revenue Per Share 18.034 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets 0.0281 | Return On Equity (0.40) |
The market value of Gannett is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gannett that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gannett's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gannett's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gannett's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gannett's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gannett's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gannett is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gannett's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.