GDI Property (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.24

GDI Stock   0.60  0.01  1.69%   
GDI Property's future price is the expected price of GDI Property instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GDI Property Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GDI Property Backtesting, GDI Property Valuation, GDI Property Correlation, GDI Property Hype Analysis, GDI Property Volatility, GDI Property History as well as GDI Property Performance.
  
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GDI Property Target Price Odds to finish over 4.24

The tendency of GDI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  4.24  or more in 90 days
 0.60 90 days 4.24 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GDI Property to move over  4.24  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This GDI Property Group probability density function shows the probability of GDI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GDI Property Group price to stay between its current price of  0.60  and  4.24  at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GDI Property Group has a beta of -0.25. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GDI Property are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GDI Property Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GDI Property Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   GDI Property Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GDI Property

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GDI Property Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.601.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.521.72
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.010.010.01
Details

GDI Property Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GDI Property is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GDI Property's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GDI Property Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GDI Property within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

GDI Property Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GDI Property for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GDI Property Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GDI Property Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
GDI Property Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
GDI Property Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: GDI Property Group Updates Directors Securities Purchase - TipRanks

GDI Property Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GDI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GDI Property's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GDI Property's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding538.7 M
Dividends Paid27.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments17 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.05

GDI Property Technical Analysis

GDI Property's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GDI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GDI Property Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing GDI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GDI Property Predictive Forecast Models

GDI Property's time-series forecasting models is one of many GDI Property's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GDI Property's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GDI Property Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about GDI Property for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GDI Property Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GDI Property Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
GDI Property Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
GDI Property Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: GDI Property Group Updates Directors Securities Purchase - TipRanks

Additional Tools for GDI Stock Analysis

When running GDI Property's price analysis, check to measure GDI Property's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GDI Property is operating at the current time. Most of GDI Property's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GDI Property's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GDI Property's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GDI Property to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.