Global Green (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.5

GGC Stock  THB 4.60  0.02  0.44%   
Global Green's future price is the expected price of Global Green instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Global Green Chemicals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Global Green Backtesting, Global Green Valuation, Global Green Correlation, Global Green Hype Analysis, Global Green Volatility, Global Green History as well as Global Green Performance.
  
Please specify Global Green's target price for which you would like Global Green odds to be computed.

Global Green Target Price Odds to finish below 11.5

The tendency of Global Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  11.50  after 90 days
 4.60 90 days 11.50 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Green to stay under  11.50  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Global Green Chemicals probability density function shows the probability of Global Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Global Green Chemicals price to stay between its current price of  4.60  and  11.50  at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Global Green has a beta of 0.29. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Global Green average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Global Green Chemicals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Global Green Chemicals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Global Green Price Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.154.124.194.274.344.474.544.64.644.724.794.894.97Current PriceTargetGlobal Green Mean 1234
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Global Green

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Green Chemicals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.074.606.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.104.636.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.134.666.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.444.634.81
Details

Global Green Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Green is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Green's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Green Chemicals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Green within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Global Green Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Green for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Green Chemicals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Green generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Global Green Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Global Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Global Green's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Green's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

Global Green Technical Analysis

Global Green's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Green Chemicals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Global Green Predictive Forecast Models

Global Green's time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Green's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Green's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Global Green Chemicals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Green for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global Green Chemicals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Green generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Global Stock

Global Green financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Green security.