Nationwide Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 15.62

GGFRX Fund  USD 14.88  0.04  0.27%   
Nationwide Growth's future price is the expected price of Nationwide Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nationwide Growth Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nationwide Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Nationwide Growth Correlation, Nationwide Growth Hype Analysis, Nationwide Growth Volatility, Nationwide Growth History as well as Nationwide Growth Performance.
  
Please specify Nationwide Growth's target price for which you would like Nationwide Growth odds to be computed.

Nationwide Growth Target Price Odds to finish over 15.62

The tendency of Nationwide Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 15.62  or more in 90 days
 14.88 90 days 15.62 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nationwide Growth to move over $ 15.62  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nationwide Growth Fund probability density function shows the probability of Nationwide Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nationwide Growth price to stay between its current price of $ 14.88  and $ 15.62  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nationwide Growth Fund has a beta of -0.0077. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nationwide Growth are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nationwide Growth Fund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nationwide Growth Fund has an alpha of 0.1034, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nationwide Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nationwide Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nationwide Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.3916.3417.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.2313.9316.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.2214.9315.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.5514.7014.85
Details

Nationwide Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nationwide Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nationwide Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nationwide Growth Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nationwide Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0077
σ
Overall volatility
0.33
Ir
Information ratio -0.001

Nationwide Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nationwide Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nationwide Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 8.89% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Nationwide Growth Technical Analysis

Nationwide Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nationwide Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nationwide Growth Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nationwide Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nationwide Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Nationwide Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nationwide Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nationwide Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nationwide Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nationwide Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nationwide Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 8.89% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Nationwide Mutual Fund

Nationwide Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nationwide Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nationwide with respect to the benefits of owning Nationwide Growth security.
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