Gunung Raja (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 296.05
| GGRP Stock | IDR 232.00 20.00 9.43% |
Gunung |
Gunung Raja Target Price Odds to finish over 296.05
The tendency of Gunung Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 296.05 or more in 90 days |
| 232.00 | 90 days | 296.05 | about 40.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gunung Raja to move over 296.05 or more in 90 days from now is about 40.48 (This Gunung Raja Paksi probability density function shows the probability of Gunung Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gunung Raja Paksi price to stay between its current price of 232.00 and 296.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gunung Raja has a beta of 0.18. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gunung Raja average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gunung Raja Paksi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gunung Raja Paksi has an alpha of 0.3651, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gunung Raja Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gunung Raja
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gunung Raja Paksi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gunung Raja Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gunung Raja is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gunung Raja's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gunung Raja Paksi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gunung Raja within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 70.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Gunung Raja Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gunung Raja for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gunung Raja Paksi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gunung Raja Paksi had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Gunung Raja Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gunung Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gunung Raja's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gunung Raja's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 37.2 M |
Gunung Raja Technical Analysis
Gunung Raja's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gunung Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gunung Raja Paksi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gunung Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gunung Raja Predictive Forecast Models
Gunung Raja's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gunung Raja's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gunung Raja's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gunung Raja Paksi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gunung Raja for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gunung Raja Paksi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gunung Raja Paksi had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Gunung Stock
Gunung Raja financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gunung Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gunung with respect to the benefits of owning Gunung Raja security.