Gh Research Plc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.12
| GHRS Stock | USD 8.00 0.41 4.88% |
Closest to current price GHRS long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
GHRS |
GH Research Target Price Odds to finish over 8.12
The tendency of GHRS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 8.12 or more in 90 days |
| 8.00 | 90 days | 8.12 | about 50.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GH Research to move over $ 8.12 or more in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This GH Research PLC probability density function shows the probability of GHRS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GH Research PLC price to stay between its current price of $ 8.00 and $ 8.12 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.68 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.53 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, GH Research will likely underperform. Additionally GH Research PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. GH Research Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GH Research
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GH Research PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GH Research Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GH Research is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GH Research's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GH Research PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GH Research within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.4 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
GH Research Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GH Research for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GH Research PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GH Research PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| GH Research PLC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (35.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| GH Research PLC currently holds about 265.38 M in cash with (33.34 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.1. | |
| GH Research PLC has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Verition Fund Management LLC Cuts Stock Position in GH Research PLC |
GH Research Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GHRS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GH Research's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GH Research's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 161.6 M |
GH Research Technical Analysis
GH Research's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GHRS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GH Research PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing GHRS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GH Research Predictive Forecast Models
GH Research's time-series forecasting models is one of many GH Research's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GH Research's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GH Research PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about GH Research for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GH Research PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GH Research PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| GH Research PLC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (35.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| GH Research PLC currently holds about 265.38 M in cash with (33.34 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.1. | |
| GH Research PLC has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Verition Fund Management LLC Cuts Stock Position in GH Research PLC |
Additional Tools for GHRS Stock Analysis
When running GH Research's price analysis, check to measure GH Research's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GH Research is operating at the current time. Most of GH Research's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GH Research's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GH Research's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GH Research to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.