Cgi Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 155.56

GIB-A Stock  CAD 157.66  0.29  0.18%   
CGI's future price is the expected price of CGI instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CGI Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CGI Backtesting, CGI Valuation, CGI Correlation, CGI Hype Analysis, CGI Volatility, CGI History as well as CGI Performance.
  
At this time, CGI's Price Earnings Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to gain to 3.41 in 2024, whereas Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to drop 10.25 in 2024. Please specify CGI's target price for which you would like CGI odds to be computed.

CGI Target Price Odds to finish below 155.56

The tendency of CGI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 155.56  or more in 90 days
 157.66 90 days 155.56 
about 50.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CGI to drop to C$ 155.56  or more in 90 days from now is about 50.3 (This CGI Inc probability density function shows the probability of CGI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CGI Inc price to stay between C$ 155.56  and its current price of C$157.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CGI has a beta of 0.19. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, CGI average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CGI Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CGI Inc has an alpha of 0.0526, implying that it can generate a 0.0526 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CGI Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CGI

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CGI Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
156.62157.66158.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
155.56156.60173.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
161.16162.20163.23
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.911.972.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CGI. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CGI's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CGI's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CGI Inc.

CGI Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CGI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CGI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CGI Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CGI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
2.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

CGI Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CGI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CGI Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is CGI Inc. Potentially Undervalued - Yahoo Finance

CGI Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CGI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CGI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CGI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding231.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 B

CGI Technical Analysis

CGI's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CGI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CGI Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing CGI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CGI Predictive Forecast Models

CGI's time-series forecasting models is one of many CGI's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CGI's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CGI Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about CGI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CGI Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is CGI Inc. Potentially Undervalued - Yahoo Finance

Additional Tools for CGI Stock Analysis

When running CGI's price analysis, check to measure CGI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CGI is operating at the current time. Most of CGI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CGI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CGI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CGI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.