Amundi Physical (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 100.96
| GLDA Stock | 100.15 0.20 0.20% |
Amundi |
Amundi Physical Target Price Odds to finish over 100.96
The tendency of Amundi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 100.96 or more in 90 days |
| 100.15 | 90 days | 100.96 | about 10.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amundi Physical to move over 100.96 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.88 (This Amundi Physical Gold probability density function shows the probability of Amundi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amundi Physical Gold price to stay between its current price of 100.15 and 100.96 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amundi Physical has a beta of 0.0377. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Amundi Physical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amundi Physical Gold will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amundi Physical Gold has an alpha of 0.1556, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Amundi Physical Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Amundi Physical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amundi Physical Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amundi Physical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amundi Physical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amundi Physical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amundi Physical Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amundi Physical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Amundi Physical Technical Analysis
Amundi Physical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amundi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amundi Physical Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amundi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amundi Physical Predictive Forecast Models
Amundi Physical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amundi Physical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amundi Physical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Amundi Physical in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Amundi Physical's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Amundi Physical options trading.