Siam Global (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.8

GLOBAL Stock  THB 15.90  0.10  0.63%   
Siam Global's future price is the expected price of Siam Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Siam Global House performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Siam Global Backtesting, Siam Global Valuation, Siam Global Correlation, Siam Global Hype Analysis, Siam Global Volatility, Siam Global History as well as Siam Global Performance.
  
Please specify Siam Global's target price for which you would like Siam Global odds to be computed.

Siam Global Target Price Odds to finish below 14.8

The tendency of Siam Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  14.80  or more in 90 days
 15.90 90 days 14.80 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Siam Global to drop to  14.80  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Siam Global House probability density function shows the probability of Siam Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Siam Global House price to stay between  14.80  and its current price of 15.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Siam Global has a beta of 0.22. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Siam Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Siam Global House will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Siam Global House has an alpha of 0.047, implying that it can generate a 0.047 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Siam Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Siam Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Siam Global House. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1515.8017.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.2515.9017.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.8515.5017.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.4115.7916.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Siam Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Siam Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Siam Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Siam Global House.

Siam Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Siam Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Siam Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Siam Global House, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Siam Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Siam Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Siam Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Siam Global House can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Siam Global House has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Siam Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Siam Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Siam Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Siam Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.4 B

Siam Global Technical Analysis

Siam Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Siam Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Siam Global House. In general, you should focus on analyzing Siam Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Siam Global Predictive Forecast Models

Siam Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Siam Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Siam Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Siam Global House

Checking the ongoing alerts about Siam Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Siam Global House help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Siam Global House has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Siam Stock

Siam Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Siam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Siam with respect to the benefits of owning Siam Global security.