Globrands (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 47,417

GLRS Stock   47,020  20.00  0.04%   
Globrands' future price is the expected price of Globrands instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Globrands Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Globrands Backtesting, Globrands Valuation, Globrands Correlation, Globrands Hype Analysis, Globrands Volatility, Globrands History as well as Globrands Performance.
  
Please specify Globrands' target price for which you would like Globrands odds to be computed.

Globrands Target Price Odds to finish over 47,417

The tendency of Globrands Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 47,020 90 days 47,020 
roughly 2.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Globrands to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.66 (This Globrands Group probability density function shows the probability of Globrands Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Globrands has a beta of 0.13. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Globrands average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Globrands Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Globrands Group has an alpha of 0.3628, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Globrands Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Globrands

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Globrands Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47,01947,02047,021
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42,31852,75052,752
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
47,41547,41647,417
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36,56542,52648,487
Details

Globrands Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Globrands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Globrands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Globrands Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Globrands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
3,028
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Globrands Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Globrands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Globrands Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Globrands Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Globrands Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Globrands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Globrands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividends Paid69 M

Globrands Technical Analysis

Globrands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Globrands Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Globrands Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Globrands Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Globrands Predictive Forecast Models

Globrands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Globrands' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Globrands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Globrands Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Globrands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Globrands Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Globrands Stock

Globrands financial ratios help investors to determine whether Globrands Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Globrands with respect to the benefits of owning Globrands security.