Guler Yatirim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.85
| GLRYH Stock | TRY 12.29 0.08 0.66% |
Guler |
Guler Yatirim Target Price Odds to finish below 5.85
The tendency of Guler Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 5.85 or more in 90 days |
| 12.29 | 90 days | 5.85 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guler Yatirim to drop to 5.85 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Guler Yatirim Holding probability density function shows the probability of Guler Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guler Yatirim Holding price to stay between 5.85 and its current price of 12.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Guler Yatirim has a beta of 0.3. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Guler Yatirim average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Guler Yatirim Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Guler Yatirim Holding has an alpha of 0.1019, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Guler Yatirim Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guler Yatirim
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guler Yatirim Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Guler Yatirim Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guler Yatirim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guler Yatirim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guler Yatirim Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guler Yatirim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Guler Yatirim Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guler Yatirim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guler Yatirim Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guler Yatirim Holding has accumulated about 49.62 M in cash with (9.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.65. | |
| Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Guler Yatirim Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Guler Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Guler Yatirim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guler Yatirim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 120 M |
Guler Yatirim Technical Analysis
Guler Yatirim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guler Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guler Yatirim Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guler Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Guler Yatirim Predictive Forecast Models
Guler Yatirim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Guler Yatirim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guler Yatirim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Guler Yatirim Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guler Yatirim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guler Yatirim Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Guler Yatirim Holding has accumulated about 49.62 M in cash with (9.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.65. | |
| Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Guler Stock
Guler Yatirim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guler Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guler with respect to the benefits of owning Guler Yatirim security.