General Money Market Fund Probability of Future Money Market Fund Price Finishing Under 0.62

GMBXX Fund  USD 1.00  0.00  0.00%   
General Money's future price is the expected price of General Money instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of General Money Market performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out General Money Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, General Money Correlation, General Money Hype Analysis, General Money Volatility, General Money History as well as General Money Performance.
  
Please specify General Money's target price for which you would like General Money odds to be computed.

General Money Target Price Odds to finish below 0.62

The tendency of General Money Market Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.62  or more in 90 days
 1.00 90 days 0.62 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of General Money to drop to $ 0.62  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This General Money Market probability density function shows the probability of General Money Market Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of General Money Market price to stay between $ 0.62  and its current price of $1.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon General Money Market has a beta of -0.0025. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding General Money are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, General Money Market is likely to outperform the market. Additionally General Money Market has an alpha of 0.0056, implying that it can generate a 0.005591 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   General Money Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for General Money

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as General Money Market. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the money market fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the money market fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of General Money's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.871.001.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.871.001.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.871.001.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.001.001.00
Details

General Money Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. General Money is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the General Money's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold General Money Market, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of General Money within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0025
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio -0.88

General Money Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of General Money for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for General Money Market can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
General Money Market has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

General Money Technical Analysis

General Money's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. General Money Market Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of General Money Market. In general, you should focus on analyzing General Money Market Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

General Money Predictive Forecast Models

General Money's time-series forecasting models is one of many General Money's money market fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary General Money's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the money market fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about General Money Market

Checking the ongoing alerts about General Money for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for General Money Market help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
General Money Market has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in General Money Market Fund

General Money financial ratios help investors to determine whether General Money Market Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in General with respect to the benefits of owning General Money security.
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