General Motors (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 83.39
| GMCO34 Stock | BRL 83.52 0.12 0.14% |
General |
General Motors Target Price Odds to finish below 83.39
The tendency of General Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 83.39 or more in 90 days |
| 83.52 | 90 days | 83.39 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of General Motors to drop to R$ 83.39 or more in 90 days from now is under 95 (This General Motors probability density function shows the probability of General Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of General Motors price to stay between R$ 83.39 and its current price of R$83.52 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon General Motors has a beta of 0.14. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, General Motors average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding General Motors will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally General Motors has an alpha of 0.2965, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). General Motors Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for General Motors
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as General Motors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.General Motors Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. General Motors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the General Motors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold General Motors, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of General Motors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
General Motors Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of General Motors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for General Motors can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| General Motors had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| General Motors has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| General Motors has accumulated 75.92 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 243.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. General Motors has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist General Motors until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, General Motors' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like General Motors sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for General to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about General Motors' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
General Motors Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of General Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential General Motors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. General Motors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B |
General Motors Technical Analysis
General Motors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. General Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of General Motors. In general, you should focus on analyzing General Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
General Motors Predictive Forecast Models
General Motors' time-series forecasting models is one of many General Motors' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary General Motors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about General Motors
Checking the ongoing alerts about General Motors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for General Motors help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| General Motors had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| General Motors has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| General Motors has accumulated 75.92 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 243.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. General Motors has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist General Motors until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, General Motors' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like General Motors sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for General to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about General Motors' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in General Stock
When determining whether General Motors is a strong investment it is important to analyze General Motors' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact General Motors' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding General Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out General Motors Backtesting, General Motors Valuation, General Motors Correlation, General Motors Hype Analysis, General Motors Volatility, General Motors History as well as General Motors Performance. For information on how to trade General Stock refer to our How to Trade General Stock guide.You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.