Global Medical Reit Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 25.51

GMRE-PA Preferred Stock  USD 24.85  0.25  1.02%   
Global Medical's future price is the expected price of Global Medical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Global Medical REIT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Global Medical Backtesting, Global Medical Valuation, Global Medical Correlation, Global Medical Hype Analysis, Global Medical Volatility, Global Medical History as well as Global Medical Performance.
  
Please specify Global Medical's target price for which you would like Global Medical odds to be computed.

Global Medical Target Price Odds to finish over 25.51

The tendency of Global Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 25.51  or more in 90 days
 24.85 90 days 25.51 
about 7.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Medical to move over $ 25.51  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.94 (This Global Medical REIT probability density function shows the probability of Global Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Global Medical REIT price to stay between its current price of $ 24.85  and $ 25.51  at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Global Medical REIT has a beta of -0.16. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Global Medical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Global Medical REIT is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Global Medical REIT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Global Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Global Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Medical REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.1924.8525.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.8421.5027.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.0224.6825.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.6825.0525.42
Details

Global Medical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Medical REIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Global Medical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Medical REIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Medical REIT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Global Medical REIT has accumulated $64.95 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: CareTrust REIT Inc Expands Credit Facility and Receives Rating Upgrade

Global Medical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Global Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Global Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding44.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.2 M

Global Medical Technical Analysis

Global Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Medical REIT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Global Medical Predictive Forecast Models

Global Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Medical's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Global Medical REIT

Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global Medical REIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Medical REIT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Global Medical REIT has accumulated $64.95 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: CareTrust REIT Inc Expands Credit Facility and Receives Rating Upgrade

Other Information on Investing in Global Preferred Stock

Global Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Medical security.