Guidemark World Ex Us Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.19
| GMWEX Fund | USD 11.05 0.10 0.90% |
Guidemark |
Guidemark World Target Price Odds to finish below 11.19
The tendency of Guidemark Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 11.19 after 90 days |
| 11.05 | 90 days | 11.19 | about 57.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guidemark World to stay under $ 11.19 after 90 days from now is about 57.0 (This Guidemark World Ex Us probability density function shows the probability of Guidemark Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guidemark World Ex price to stay between its current price of $ 11.05 and $ 11.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.85 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guidemark World has a beta of 0.34. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Guidemark World average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Guidemark World Ex Us will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Guidemark World Ex Us has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Guidemark World Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guidemark World
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guidemark World Ex. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guidemark World's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Guidemark World Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guidemark World is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guidemark World's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guidemark World Ex Us, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guidemark World within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Guidemark World Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guidemark World for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guidemark World Ex can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guidemark World Ex generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains 99.62% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Guidemark World Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Guidemark Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Guidemark World's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guidemark World's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Guidemark World Technical Analysis
Guidemark World's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guidemark Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guidemark World Ex Us. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guidemark Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Guidemark World Predictive Forecast Models
Guidemark World's time-series forecasting models is one of many Guidemark World's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guidemark World's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Guidemark World Ex
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guidemark World for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guidemark World Ex help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Guidemark World Ex generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains 99.62% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Guidemark Mutual Fund
Guidemark World financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guidemark Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guidemark with respect to the benefits of owning Guidemark World security.
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum | |
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