Genius Group Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.95
| GNS Stock | USD 0.82 0.02 2.50% |
Genius |
Genius Target Price Odds to finish below 3.95
The tendency of Genius Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 3.95 after 90 days |
| 0.82 | 90 days | 3.95 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Genius to stay under $ 3.95 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Genius Group probability density function shows the probability of Genius Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Genius Group price to stay between its current price of $ 0.82 and $ 3.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.38 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Genius Group has a beta of -1.73. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Genius Group are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Genius is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Genius Group has an alpha of 0.4929, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Genius Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Genius
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Genius Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Genius Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Genius is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Genius' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Genius Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Genius within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Genius Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Genius for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Genius Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Genius Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Genius Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Genius Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Genius Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 23.06 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (5.66 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.75 M. | |
| Genius Group has about 5.72 M in cash with (12.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.43. | |
| Genius Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Genius Group hikes Bitcoin purchases by additional 4M |
Genius Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Genius Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Genius' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Genius' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 614.8 K |
Genius Technical Analysis
Genius' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Genius Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Genius Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Genius Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Genius Predictive Forecast Models
Genius' time-series forecasting models is one of many Genius' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Genius' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Genius Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Genius for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Genius Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Genius Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Genius Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Genius Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Genius Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 23.06 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (5.66 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.75 M. | |
| Genius Group has about 5.72 M in cash with (12.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.43. | |
| Genius Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Genius Group hikes Bitcoin purchases by additional 4M |
Additional Tools for Genius Stock Analysis
When running Genius' price analysis, check to measure Genius' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Genius is operating at the current time. Most of Genius' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Genius' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Genius' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Genius to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.