Golden House (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2,183

GOHO Stock  ILA 2,153  11.00  0.51%   
Golden House's future price is the expected price of Golden House instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Golden House performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Golden House Backtesting, Golden House Valuation, Golden House Correlation, Golden House Hype Analysis, Golden House Volatility, Golden House History as well as Golden House Performance.
  
Please specify Golden House's target price for which you would like Golden House odds to be computed.

Golden House Target Price Odds to finish over 2,183

The tendency of Golden Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2,153 90 days 2,153 
about 34.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Golden House to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 34.7 (This Golden House probability density function shows the probability of Golden Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Golden House has a beta of 0.0061. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Golden House average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Golden House will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Golden House has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Golden House Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Golden House

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden House. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,1502,1532,156
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,7881,7912,368
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,1772,1802,183
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,0132,1002,188
Details

Golden House Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Golden House is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Golden House's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Golden House, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Golden House within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
118.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Golden House Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Golden House for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Golden House can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Golden House generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Golden House has accumulated 256.34 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.94, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Golden House has a current ratio of 0.4, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Golden House until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Golden House's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Golden House sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Golden to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Golden House's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Golden House has accumulated about 71.39 M in cash with (5.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.59.
Roughly 66.0% of Golden House shares are held by company insiders

Golden House Technical Analysis

Golden House's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Golden Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Golden House. In general, you should focus on analyzing Golden Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Golden House Predictive Forecast Models

Golden House's time-series forecasting models is one of many Golden House's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Golden House's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Golden House

Checking the ongoing alerts about Golden House for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Golden House help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Golden House generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Golden House has accumulated 256.34 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.94, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Golden House has a current ratio of 0.4, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Golden House until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Golden House's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Golden House sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Golden to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Golden House's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Golden House has accumulated about 71.39 M in cash with (5.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.59.
Roughly 66.0% of Golden House shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Golden Stock

Golden House financial ratios help investors to determine whether Golden Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Golden with respect to the benefits of owning Golden House security.