Goldmining Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.32

GOLD Stock  CAD 1.24  0.03  2.48%   
GoldMining's future price is the expected price of GoldMining instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GoldMining performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GoldMining Backtesting, GoldMining Valuation, GoldMining Correlation, GoldMining Hype Analysis, GoldMining Volatility, GoldMining History as well as GoldMining Performance.
To learn how to invest in GoldMining Stock, please use our How to Invest in GoldMining guide.
  
At this time, GoldMining's Price Book Value Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 9th of December 2024, Price To Book Ratio is likely to grow to 3.16, while Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop (6.78). Please specify GoldMining's target price for which you would like GoldMining odds to be computed.

GoldMining Target Price Odds to finish over 8.32

The tendency of GoldMining Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over C$ 8.32  or more in 90 days
 1.24 90 days 8.32 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GoldMining to move over C$ 8.32  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This GoldMining probability density function shows the probability of GoldMining Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GoldMining price to stay between its current price of C$ 1.24  and C$ 8.32  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GoldMining has a beta of 0.0243. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, GoldMining average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GoldMining will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GoldMining has an alpha of 0.1122, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GoldMining Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GoldMining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GoldMining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.223.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.203.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.263.93
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.03-0.02-0.02
Details

GoldMining Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GoldMining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GoldMining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GoldMining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GoldMining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.0057

GoldMining Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GoldMining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GoldMining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GoldMining may become a speculative penny stock
GoldMining has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (28.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
GoldMining has accumulated about 8 M in cash with (22.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06.
Latest headline from news.google.com: GoldMining stock continues to perform well with Buy rating from H.C. Wainwright - Investing.com

GoldMining Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GoldMining Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GoldMining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GoldMining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding171.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments21.7 M

GoldMining Technical Analysis

GoldMining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GoldMining Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GoldMining. In general, you should focus on analyzing GoldMining Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GoldMining Predictive Forecast Models

GoldMining's time-series forecasting models is one of many GoldMining's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GoldMining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GoldMining

Checking the ongoing alerts about GoldMining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GoldMining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GoldMining may become a speculative penny stock
GoldMining has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (28.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
GoldMining has accumulated about 8 M in cash with (22.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06.
Latest headline from news.google.com: GoldMining stock continues to perform well with Buy rating from H.C. Wainwright - Investing.com
When determining whether GoldMining is a strong investment it is important to analyze GoldMining's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact GoldMining's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding GoldMining Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out GoldMining Backtesting, GoldMining Valuation, GoldMining Correlation, GoldMining Hype Analysis, GoldMining Volatility, GoldMining History as well as GoldMining Performance.
To learn how to invest in GoldMining Stock, please use our How to Invest in GoldMining guide.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Please note, there is a significant difference between GoldMining's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GoldMining is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GoldMining's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.