Gol Linhas (Brazil) Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 4.98
| GOLL4 Preferred Stock | BRL 1.40 0.15 12.00% |
Gol |
Gol Linhas Target Price Odds to finish over 4.98
The tendency of Gol Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 4.98 or more in 90 days |
| 1.40 | 90 days | 4.98 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gol Linhas to move over R$ 4.98 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Gol Linhas Areas probability density function shows the probability of Gol Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gol Linhas Areas price to stay between its current price of R$ 1.40 and R$ 4.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gol Linhas has a beta of 0.3. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gol Linhas average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gol Linhas Areas will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gol Linhas Areas has an alpha of 0.4733, implying that it can generate a 0.47 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gol Linhas Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gol Linhas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gol Linhas Areas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gol Linhas Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gol Linhas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gol Linhas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gol Linhas Areas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gol Linhas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Gol Linhas Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gol Linhas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gol Linhas Areas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gol Linhas Areas may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Gol Linhas Areas appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Gol Linhas Areas has accumulated 19.97 B in total debt. Gol Linhas Areas has a current ratio of 0.53, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Gol Linhas until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gol Linhas' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gol Linhas Areas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gol to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gol Linhas' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 7.43 B. Net Loss for the year was (7.22 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.16 B). | |
| Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Gol Linhas Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gol Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gol Linhas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gol Linhas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 377.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 777.6 M |
Gol Linhas Technical Analysis
Gol Linhas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gol Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gol Linhas Areas. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gol Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gol Linhas Predictive Forecast Models
Gol Linhas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Gol Linhas' preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gol Linhas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gol Linhas Areas
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gol Linhas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gol Linhas Areas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gol Linhas Areas may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Gol Linhas Areas appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Gol Linhas Areas has accumulated 19.97 B in total debt. Gol Linhas Areas has a current ratio of 0.53, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Gol Linhas until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gol Linhas' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gol Linhas Areas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gol to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gol Linhas' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 7.43 B. Net Loss for the year was (7.22 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.16 B). | |
| Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for Gol Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Gol Linhas' price analysis, check to measure Gol Linhas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gol Linhas is operating at the current time. Most of Gol Linhas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gol Linhas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gol Linhas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gol Linhas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.