LANSON BCC (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.78

GQ6 Stock  EUR 34.60  0.90  2.54%   
LANSON BCC's future price is the expected price of LANSON BCC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LANSON BCC INH EO performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out LANSON BCC Backtesting, LANSON BCC Valuation, LANSON BCC Correlation, LANSON BCC Hype Analysis, LANSON BCC Volatility, LANSON BCC History as well as LANSON BCC Performance.
  
Please specify LANSON BCC's target price for which you would like LANSON BCC odds to be computed.

LANSON BCC Target Price Odds to finish below 31.78

The tendency of LANSON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 31.78  or more in 90 days
 34.60 90 days 31.78 
about 1.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LANSON BCC to drop to € 31.78  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.94 (This LANSON BCC INH EO probability density function shows the probability of LANSON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LANSON BCC INH price to stay between € 31.78  and its current price of €34.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.46 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon LANSON BCC has a beta of 0.0228. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, LANSON BCC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LANSON BCC INH EO will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LANSON BCC INH EO has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   LANSON BCC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LANSON BCC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LANSON BCC INH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.2034.6036.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.3030.7038.06
Details

LANSON BCC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LANSON BCC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LANSON BCC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LANSON BCC INH EO, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LANSON BCC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
2.70
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

LANSON BCC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LANSON BCC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LANSON BCC INH can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LANSON BCC INH generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 91.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

LANSON BCC Technical Analysis

LANSON BCC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LANSON Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LANSON BCC INH EO. In general, you should focus on analyzing LANSON Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LANSON BCC Predictive Forecast Models

LANSON BCC's time-series forecasting models is one of many LANSON BCC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LANSON BCC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LANSON BCC INH

Checking the ongoing alerts about LANSON BCC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LANSON BCC INH help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LANSON BCC INH generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 91.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in LANSON Stock

LANSON BCC financial ratios help investors to determine whether LANSON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LANSON with respect to the benefits of owning LANSON BCC security.