Graines Voltz (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.48
| GRVO Stock | EUR 22.00 2.00 10.00% |
Graines |
Graines Voltz Target Price Odds to finish below 19.48
The tendency of Graines Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 19.48 or more in 90 days |
| 22.00 | 90 days | 19.48 | about 1.59 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Graines Voltz to drop to € 19.48 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.59 (This Graines Voltz SA probability density function shows the probability of Graines Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Graines Voltz SA price to stay between € 19.48 and its current price of €22.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Graines Voltz SA has a beta of -0.62. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Graines Voltz are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Graines Voltz SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Graines Voltz SA has an alpha of 0.045, implying that it can generate a 0.045 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Graines Voltz Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Graines Voltz
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Graines Voltz SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Graines Voltz Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Graines Voltz is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Graines Voltz's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Graines Voltz SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Graines Voltz within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Graines Voltz Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Graines Voltz for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Graines Voltz SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Graines Voltz SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Graines Voltz SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Graines Voltz SA has accumulated about 13.1 M in cash with (18.71 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.11. | |
| Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Graines Voltz Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Graines Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Graines Voltz's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Graines Voltz's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14 M |
Graines Voltz Technical Analysis
Graines Voltz's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Graines Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Graines Voltz SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Graines Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Graines Voltz Predictive Forecast Models
Graines Voltz's time-series forecasting models is one of many Graines Voltz's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Graines Voltz's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Graines Voltz SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Graines Voltz for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Graines Voltz SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Graines Voltz SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Graines Voltz SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Graines Voltz SA has accumulated about 13.1 M in cash with (18.71 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.11. | |
| Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Graines Stock
Graines Voltz financial ratios help investors to determine whether Graines Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Graines with respect to the benefits of owning Graines Voltz security.