Graphene Solar Technologies Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0335

GSTX Stock  USD 0.03  0.01  27.96%   
Graphene Solar's future price is the expected price of Graphene Solar instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Graphene Solar Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Graphene Solar Backtesting, Graphene Solar Valuation, Graphene Solar Correlation, Graphene Solar Hype Analysis, Graphene Solar Volatility, Graphene Solar History as well as Graphene Solar Performance.
  
Please specify Graphene Solar's target price for which you would like Graphene Solar odds to be computed.

Graphene Solar Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0335

The tendency of Graphene Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.03  after 90 days
 0.03 90 days 0.03 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Graphene Solar to stay under $ 0.03  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Graphene Solar Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Graphene Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Graphene Solar Techn price to stay between its current price of $ 0.03  and $ 0.03  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.54 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 95.0 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Graphene Solar will likely underperform. In addition to that Graphene Solar Technologies has an alpha of 323.6727, implying that it can generate a 323.67 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Graphene Solar Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Graphene Solar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Graphene Solar Techn. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Graphene Solar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0351.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0251.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00070.03190.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.090.010.12
Details

Graphene Solar Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Graphene Solar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Graphene Solar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Graphene Solar Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Graphene Solar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
323.67
β
Beta against Dow Jones95.00
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Graphene Solar Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Graphene Solar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Graphene Solar Techn can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Graphene Solar Techn is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Graphene Solar Techn has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Graphene Solar Techn appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Graphene Solar Techn has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (34.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Graphene Solar Technologies currently holds about 3.27 K in cash with (320.13 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Graphene Solar Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Graphene Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Graphene Solar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Graphene Solar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding257.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3728.00

Graphene Solar Technical Analysis

Graphene Solar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Graphene Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Graphene Solar Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Graphene Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Graphene Solar Predictive Forecast Models

Graphene Solar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Graphene Solar's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Graphene Solar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Graphene Solar Techn

Checking the ongoing alerts about Graphene Solar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Graphene Solar Techn help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Graphene Solar Techn is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Graphene Solar Techn has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Graphene Solar Techn appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Graphene Solar Techn has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (34.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Graphene Solar Technologies currently holds about 3.27 K in cash with (320.13 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Graphene Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Graphene Solar's price analysis, check to measure Graphene Solar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Graphene Solar is operating at the current time. Most of Graphene Solar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Graphene Solar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Graphene Solar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Graphene Solar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.